Simpatico

M&A bolt-on · Pepsi → target #9 of 9

Siete Family Foods

Premium, health-focused Mexican-American food brand offering inclusive, allergen-friendly alternatives to traditional pantry staples.

Founded 2014 · Competes with Lotus Foods, Late July, Beanitos, Mi Nina · Partnerships: Siete FC

Corporate details are Qloo entity data.

Pass
47.4F / 100
100% of the weighted evidence measured

Why this verdict

F 47.4 < 62.

Scores, flags and verdicts are computed in code. The agents can only argue with the ledger; they never set the score.

Six audience metrics

Bar = this target; tick = shortlist average.

m1 Two-way audience affinity
0.60
Harmonic mean of the buyer audience’s affinity for the target and the target audience’s affinity for the buyer’s brands.
m2 Taste-profile overlap
0.16
Rank-weighted overlap of the two audiences’ top-50 cultural taste tags.
m3 Cross-domain agreement
0.82
How strongly the target’s audience embraces the buyer audience’s favourite artists, shows, films and podcasts.
m4 Demographic alignment
0.50
Similarity of the two audiences’ age and gender over-index profiles.
m5 Geographic footprint
0.15
Correlation of metro-level audience affinity, relative to the screened cohort.
m6 Momentum
0.49
Trending rank change over the last 4 weeks vs the 8 before, relative to the cohort.

How F is built

Points each metric adds (weights for M&A bolt-on, renormalised over what Qloo could measure).

MetricWeightPoints
Two-way audience affinity0.3018.0
Taste-profile overlap0.203.3
Cross-domain agreement0.1512.2
Demographic alignment0.157.5
Geographic footprint0.101.5
Momentum0.104.9
F47.4

Qloo explainability: the buyer-side signals driving the forward affinity are Quaker Oats Company (0.26), Gatorade (0.26), Doritos (0.25), Pepsi (0.23).

Shared catalogue categories (Qloo compare): Food & Beverage, Food, Packaged, Snacks.

Where the audiences meet, across culture

The buyer audience’s top titles in each domain, ranked by how strongly Siete Family Foods’s audience embraces them.

Music0.77
Embraced: Sebastian Yatra, Reik, Prince Royce · Least shared: Arcangel, Nicky Jam, J Balvin
TV0.89
Embraced: Blown Away, Old Enough!, Lego Masters Australia · Least shared: The Next Step, Saved by the Bell, Doogie Kamealoha, M.D.
Film0.81
Embraced: Toy Story 4, Aladdin, Pokémon: Detective Pikachu · Least shared: Spider-Man: Homecoming, Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 2, Thor: Ragnarok
Podcasts0.80
Embraced: The Chalene Show | Diet, Fitness & Life Balance, Motivation with Brendon Burchard, Trust and Believe with Shaun T · Least shared: First Take, Talk Is Jericho, The Steve Austin Show

Taste profile overlap

15 of 85 top taste tags shared.

Both over-index on
female protagonistteenage girlfamily relationshipsindiefriendfriendshipcountryhigh school
Buyer only

Pulpo A La Brasa, Seared Diver Scallops, Mole, electronic, pop

Siete Family Foods only

Restaurant, Fries, Cookbooks, Salad, European

Audience shape

Pepsi (buyer) Siete Family Foods
-0.66-0.330.00+0.33+0.66≤2425–2930–3435–4445–5455+MenWomen

Relative over-index (+) or under-index (−) of each aggregate audience, from Qloo. Not individual data.

Momentum

z = -0.06 relative to the screened cohort (2025-10-01).

prior 8 weekslast 4

Footprint overlap for distribution

White space: Siete Family Foods strong, buyer weak Shared stronghold Other metros
White space

Anchorage, Tucson, Albuquerque, Nashville, Portland, Boise, Oklahoma City, Austin

Shared strongholds

Birmingham

Bull vs bear

10 of 10 claims survived the judge; 0 rejected for citing numbers not in the ledger or misreading them.

Bull: for the deal

  • Cross-domain taste agreement for Siete's audience is strong: the aggregate cross-domain agreement score is 0.816, just above the shortlist average of 0.810, so the audience's tastes hang together consistently across music, TV, film and podcasts.

    t9-m3.value = 0.8156t9-m3.shortlistAverages.value = 0.8105
  • Two-way audience affinity between Siete and Pepsi is a relative strength: the ratio of the two directions is 0.976, slightly above the shortlist average of 0.968, which suggests the audience overlap is roughly symmetric and the brands are not skewed toward one side.

    t9-m1.ratio = 0.9763t9-m1.shortlistAverages.ratio = 0.9678
  • Film affinity is the strongest domain signal: the audience over-indexes on films, scoring 0.809 against a shortlist average of 0.781, with aggregate affinities for titles such as Toy Story 4 and Aladdin.

    t9-m3.domains[2].score = 0.8093t9-m3.shortlistAverages.domains[2].score = 0.7815
  • Siete's aggregate audience skews younger than Pepsi's: the 24-and-younger share is 0.42 for Siete against 0.20 for the buyer, a positioning that a youth-oriented portfolio could address.

    t9-m4.target.24_and_younger = 0.42t9-m4.buyer.24_and_younger = 0.2
  • The geographic footprint shows room to grow: 11 metros are white space where Siete's affinity is high but the buyer's is low, and Siete's popularity score of 0.917 gives a strong brand base to expand from.

    t9-m5.whiteSpaceCount = 11t9-profile.popularity = 0.9168

Bear: against, or diligence first

  • Two-way audience affinity is below the shortlist: the target's audience affinity for the buyer's brands is 0.5988 against a shortlist average of 0.6514, so the cross-brand audience overlap that the deal thesis depends on is thinner than peers.

    t9-m1.value = 0.5988t9-m1.shortlistAverages.value = 0.6514
  • Taste-profile overlap is weak: only 15 shared taste tags out of a union of 85, a Jaccard value of 0.1644 versus a shortlist average of 0.2162, and 55% of the buyer's top-20 tags are missing from the target's profile.

    t9-m2.value = 0.1644t9-m2.buyerTop20MissingShare = 0.55
  • Demographic alignment is poor: the target's audience skews strongly male-negative (-0.66) and 55-and-older-negative (-0.65) while the buyer's male score is +0.1175, and the cosine similarity of 0.0046 is far below the shortlist average of 0.1371.

    t9-m4.biggestGap.target = -0.66t9-m4.cosine = 0.004593t9-m4.shortlistAverages.cosine = 0.1371
  • Geographic overlap is negative: the correlation between buyer and target metro affinity is -0.6956, and 11 metros are white space where the target over-indexes but the buyer does not, so the buyer would be adding reach mainly where it is weakest rather than consolidating existing strength.

    t9-m5.correlation = -0.6956t9-m5.whiteSpaceCount = 11
  • Momentum is flat and below peers: the z-score of -0.0581 is negative against a shortlist average of 0.1870, so the aggregate audience signal is not growing, and the composite F of 47.45 trails the shortlist average of 54.80, which argues for diligence before any bid.

    t9-m6.z = -0.05808t9-score.F = 47.45t9-score.shortlistAverages.F = 54.8
Provenance: 30 Qloo calls behind this target

Requests as sent (the API key travels in a header and is never logged). Responses are cached privately on the server.

PurposeEndpointStatusResultSource
/v2/insightsok29 of 29 candidates scoredcache
/v2/insightsok29 profile(s)cache
/v2/insightsok50 taste tag(s)cache
/v2/insightsok25 recommended tv_show(s)cache
/v2/insightsok25 recommended podcast(s)cache
/v2/insightsok25 recommended movie(s)cache
/v2/insightsok25 recommended artist(s)cache
/v2/insightsokdemographics for 13 of 13 entitiescache
/v2/insightsok7265 heatmap cell(s) in United Statescache
/v2/trendingok47 trend point(s)cache
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/v2/trendingok47 trend point(s)cache
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/v2/trendingok47 trend point(s)cache
/v2/trendingok47 trend point(s)cache
/v2/trendingok47 trend point(s)cache
/v2/trendingok47 trend point(s)cache
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/v2/trendingok47 trend point(s)cache
/v2/trendingok47 trend point(s)cache
/v2/trendingok47 trend point(s)cache
/v2/insightsok4 of 4 candidates scoredcache
/v2/insightsok50 taste tag(s)cache
/v2/insightsok25 of 25 candidates scoredcache
/v2/insightsok25 of 25 candidates scoredcache
/v2/insightsok25 of 25 candidates scoredcache
/v2/insightsok25 of 25 candidates scoredcache
/v2/analysis/compareok4 shared catalogue tag(s)cache
/v2/insightsok6402 heatmap cell(s) in United Statescache
Evidence rows (what bull, bear and the judge see)
[
 {
  "id": "t9-flags",
  "label": "Red flags (code rules)",
  "data": {
   "flags": []
  },
  "shortlistAverages": {}
 },
 {
  "id": "t9-m1",
  "label": "m1 Two-way audience affinity",
  "data": {
   "a": 0.6060990663136395,
   "b": 0.5917631337785352,
   "ratio": 0.9763472123092071,
   "value": 0.5988453143181317,
   "reverse": [
    {
     "id": "099E174E-1FEC-4AD9-80F2-92C2E6CBD6ED",
     "name": "Quaker Oats Company",
     "affinity": 0.6151573583082481
    },
    {
     "id": "18316CE7-595D-4469-8FDF-43D1B70021E4",
     "name": "Gatorade",
     "affinity": 0.6120925031495442
    },
    {
     "id": "EA3901B0-A3A5-43F5-AC2A-45C35C400926",
     "name": "Doritos",
     "affinity": 0.5869249327942474
    },
    {
     "id": "957B527A-CF2C-4283-A2FD-3F49741DF5DE",
     "name": "Pepsi",
     "affinity": 0.5528777408621013
    }
   ],
   "coverage": 1
  },
  "shortlistAverages": {
   "a": 0.6624365266218457,
   "b": 0.6407175341615415,
   "ratio": 0.967828417745172,
   "value": 0.6513859043165956
  }
 },
 {
  "id": "t9-m2",
  "label": "m2 Taste-profile overlap",
  "data": {
   "value": 0.16438356164383564,
   "shared": [
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:keyword:media:female_protagonist",
     "name": "female protagonist",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:keyword:media"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:keyword:media:teenage_girl",
     "name": "teenage girl",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:keyword:media"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:keyword:media:family_relationships",
     "name": "family relationships",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:keyword:media"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:genre:music:indie",
     "name": "indie",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:genre:music"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:keyword:media:friend",
     "name": "friend",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:keyword:media"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:keyword:media:friendship",
     "name": "friendship",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:keyword:media"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:genre:music:country",
     "name": "country",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:genre:music"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:keyword:media:high_school",
     "name": "high school",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:keyword:media"
    }
   ],
   "coverage": 1,
   "buyerOnly": [
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:specialty_dish:place:pulpo_a_la_brasa",
     "name": "Pulpo A La Brasa",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:specialty_dish:place"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:specialty_dish:place:seared_diver_scallops",
     "name": "Seared Diver Scallops",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:specialty_dish:place"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:specialty_dish:place:mole",
     "name": "Mole",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:specialty_dish:place"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:genre:music:electronic",
     "name": "electronic",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:genre:music"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:genre:music:pop",
     "name": "pop",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:genre:music"
    }
   ],
   "targetOnly": [
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:genre:place:restaurant",
     "name": "Restaurant",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:genre:place"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:specialty_dish:place:fries",
     "name": "Fries",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:specialty_dish:place"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:genre:media:cookbooks",
     "name": "Cookbooks",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:genre:media"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:specialty_dish:place:salad",
     "name": "Salad",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:specialty_dish:place"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:genre:place:restaurant:european",
     "name": "European",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:genre:place"
    }
   ],
   "unionCount": 85,
   "sharedCount": 15,
   "buyerTop20MissingShare": 0.55
  },
  "shortlistAverages": {
   "value": 0.21621768796827232,
   "sharedCount": 19.625,
   "buyerTop20MissingShare": 0.4375
  }
 },
 {
  "id": "t9-m3",
  "label": "m3 Cross-domain agreement",
  "data": {
   "value": 0.8156114200377218,
   "domains": [
    {
     "type": "urn:entity:artist",
     "clash": [
      {
       "name": "Arcangel",
       "affinity": 0.7302919106830006
      },
      {
       "name": "Nicky Jam",
       "affinity": 0.7474488411869462
      },
      {
       "name": "J Balvin",
       "affinity": 0.7500987529513126
      }
     ],
     "label": "Music",
     "score": 0.7667346536215973,
     "shared": [
      {
       "name": "Sebastian Yatra",
       "affinity": 0.7876180923593677
      },
      {
       "name": "Reik",
       "affinity": 0.7826392808643985
      },
      {
       "name": "Prince Royce",
       "affinity": 0.7817807634040146
      }
     ],
     "expected": 25,
     "returned": 25
    },
    {
     "type": "urn:entity:tv_show",
     "clash": [
      {
       "name": "The Next Step",
       "affinity": 0.8529320334543321
      },
      {
       "name": "Saved by the Bell",
       "affinity": 0.8585886706253621
      },
      {
       "name": "Doogie Kamealoha, M.D.",
       "affinity": 0.8641010241383684
      }
     ],
     "label": "TV",
     "score": 0.8904055786193799,
     "shared": [
      {
       "name": "Blown Away",
       "affinity": 0.941233199458914
      },
      {
       "name": "Old Enough!",
       "affinity": 0.9369799081000004
      },
      {
       "name": "Lego Masters Australia",
       "affinity": 0.9147606377653277
      }
     ],
     "expected": 25,
     "returned": 25
    },
    {
     "type": "urn:entity:movie",
     "clash": [
      {
       "name": "Spider-Man: Homecoming",
       "affinity": 0.7504342465303423
      },
      {
       "name": "Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 2",
       "affinity": 0.7587696303162451
      },
      {
       "name": "Thor: Ragnarok",
       "affinity": 0.761202172277323
      }
     ],
     "label": "Film",
     "score": 0.8093491008861224,
     "shared": [
      {
       "name": "Toy Story 4",
       "affinity": 0.8636163899394825
      },
      {
       "name": "Aladdin",
       "affinity": 0.8578045063157094
      },
      {
       "name": "Pokémon: Detective Pikachu",
       "affinity": 0.8474212127291476
      }
     ],
     "expected": 25,
     "returned": 25
    },
    {
     "type": "urn:entity:podcast",
     "clash": [
      {
       "name": "First Take",
       "affinity": 0.6611628063101839
      },
      {
       "name": "Talk Is Jericho",
       "affinity": 0.6760318786397577
      },
      {
       "name": "The Steve Austin Show",
       "affinity": 0.6880478826498015
      }
     ],
     "label": "Podcasts",
     "score": 0.7959563470237877,
     "shared": [
      {
       "name": "The Chalene Show | Diet, Fitness & Life Balance",
       "affinity": 0.9182134389596648
      },
      {
       "name": "Motivation with Brendon Burchard",
       "affinity": 0.8736227612973577
      },
      {
       "name": "Trust and Believe with Shaun T",
       "affinity": 0.8629562667852315
      }
     ],
     "expected": 25,
     "returned": 25
    }
   ],
   "coverage": 1
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  "shortlistAverages": {
   "value": 0.810476776925301,
   "domains[0].score": 0.7679707127120858,
   "domains[1].score": 0.8919821957310872,
   "domains[2].score": 0.7814520856550119,
   "domains[3].score": 0.8005021136030196
  }
 },
 {
  "id": "t9-m4",
  "label": "m4 Demographic alignment",
  "data": {
   "buyer": {
    "male": 0.11749999999999998,
    "female": -0.11749999999999998,
    "25_to_29": 0.29000000000000004,
    "30_to_34": -0.0675,
    "35_to_44": -0.22000000000000003,
    "45_to_54": -0.475,
    "55_and_older": -0.3825,
    "24_and_younger": 0.19999999999999998
   },
   "value": 0.5022967261270318,
   "cosine": 0.004593452254063627,
   "target": {
    "male": -0.66,
    "female": 0.66,
    "25_to_29": -0.24,
    "30_to_34": 0.24,
    "35_to_44": 0.31,
    "45_to_54": 0.04,
    "55_and_older": -0.65,
    "24_and_younger": 0.42
   },
   "coverage": 1,
   "biggestGap": {
    "buyer": 0.11749999999999998,
    "bucket": "male",
    "target": -0.66
   }
  },
  "shortlistAverages": {
   "value": 0.5685635164175713,
   "cosine": 0.1371270328351427
  }
 },
 {
  "id": "t9-m5",
  "label": "m5 Geographic footprint",
  "data": {
   "value": 0.1522003914106419,
   "coverage": 1,
   "metroCount": 55,
   "whiteSpace": [
    {
     "lat": 61.2181,
     "lon": -149.9003,
     "buyer": 0.49558502705752777,
     "metro": "Anchorage",
     "target": 0.9092926981266135,
     "buyerRel": -0.22279676991659175,
     "targetRel": 0.19091090115249398
    },
    {
     "lat": 32.2226,
     "lon": -110.9747,
     "buyer": 0.6089413566713184,
     "metro": "Tucson",
     "target": 0.9292784815122191,
     "buyerRel": -0.16576332693312845,
     "targetRel": 0.15457379790777226
    },
    {
     "lat": 35.0844,
     "lon": -106.6504,
     "buyer": 0.6157961515121241,
     "metro": "Albuquerque",
     "target": 0.9089348860031468,
     "buyerRel": -0.15865885124875245,
     "targetRel": 0.13447988324227023
    },
    {
     "lat": 36.1627,
     "lon": -86.7816,
     "buyer": 0.707070212764379,
     "metro": "Nashville",
     "target": 0.946750006246509,
     "buyerRel": -0.10880019107979277,
     "targetRel": 0.1308796024023372
    },
    {
     "lat": 45.5152,
     "lon": -122.6784,
     "buyer": 0.6370498133412997,
     "metro": "Portland",
     "target": 0.9538096742409267,
     "buyerRel": -0.19207051718894252,
     "targetRel": 0.12468934371068441
    },
    {
     "lat": 43.615,
     "lon": -116.2023,
     "buyer": 0.5548783018204364,
     "metro": "Boise",
     "target": 0.872638710558547,
     "buyerRel": -0.19472099763452744,
     "targetRel": 0.12303941110358319
    },
    {
     "lat": 35.4676,
     "lon": -97.5164,
     "buyer": 0.6872049394855749,
     "metro": "Oklahoma City",
     "target": 0.9185049323374906,
     "buyerRel": -0.1086664785619812,
     "targetRel": 0.12263351428993452
    },
    {
     "lat": 30.2672,
     "lon": -97.7431,
     "buyer": 0.7355181150007081,
     "metro": "Austin",
     "target": 0.9928992360313905,
     "buyerRel": -0.1349614730297778,
     "targetRel": 0.12241964800090466
    }
   ],
   "correlation": -0.6955992171787162,
   "strongholds": [
    {
     "lat": 33.5186,
     "lon": -86.8104,
     "buyer": 0.7416748044389379,
     "metro": "Birmingham",
     "target": 0.8594396825154382,
     "buyerRel": 0.006789833089026365,
     "targetRel": 0.12455471116552674
    }
   ],
   "whiteSpaceCount": 11,
   "relativeToCohort": true
  },
  "shortlistAverages": {
   "value": 0.3995949410190965,
   "correlation": -0.20081011796180706
  }
 },
 {
  "id": "t9-m6",
  "label": "m6 Momentum",
  "data": {
   "z": -0.05807941970218389,
   "value": 0.49032009671630267,
   "priorSd": 0.0009522444093610138,
   "coverage": 1,
   "priorMean": 0.18790111115805974,
   "normalised": true,
   "recentMean": 0.18673952276401606
  },
  "shortlistAverages": {
   "z": 0.18695947847084152,
   "value": 0.5311599130784737
  }
 },
 {
  "id": "t9-profile",
  "label": "Qloo entity profile: Siete Family Foods",
  "data": {
   "name": "Siete Family Foods",
   "drivers": [
    {
     "name": "Quaker Oats Company",
     "score": 0.2598832722056948
    },
    {
     "name": "Gatorade",
     "score": 0.2585884740914839
    },
    {
     "name": "Doritos",
     "score": 0.24795602298110614
    },
    {
     "name": "Pepsi",
     "score": 0.23357223072171535
    }
   ],
   "ownership": "unknown",
   "keyMarkets": [
    "United States"
   ],
   "popularity": 0.9167500127138039,
   "screenRank": 20,
   "foundedYear": 2014,
   "priceRangeUsd": [
    5,
    10
   ],
   "ultimateParent": null,
   "forwardAffinity": 0.6060990663136395,
   "competitorBrands": [
    "Lotus Foods",
    "Late July",
    "Beanitos",
    "Mi Nina",
    "Food Should Taste Good"
   ],
   "sharedCategories": [
    {
     "name": "Food & Beverage",
     "score": 0.7305072539555804
    },
    {
     "name": "Food",
     "score": 0.7303632399004254
    },
    {
     "name": "Packaged",
     "score": 0.7289238946882144
    },
    {
     "name": "Snacks",
     "score": 0.7284173769103286
    }
   ],
   "knownPartnerships": [
    "Siete FC"
   ],
   "marketPositioning": "Premium, health-focused Mexican-American food brand offering inclusive, allergen-friendly alternatives to traditional pantry staples."
  },
  "shortlistAverages": {}
 },
 {
  "id": "t9-score",
  "label": "Composite score",
  "data": {
   "F": 47.446857736161405,
   "points": {
    "m1": 17.965359429543952,
    "m2": 3.2876712328767126,
    "m3": 12.234171300565826,
    "m4": 7.534450891905477,
    "m5": 1.522003914106419,
    "m6": 4.903200967163027
   },
   "coverage": 1
  },
  "shortlistAverages": {
   "F": 54.798185502799505
  }
 }
]