Simpatico

Licensing / co-brand · Los Angeles Dodgers → target #6 of 8

Supreme

A premium streetwear brand leveraging scarcity and exclusivity to maintain a high-fashion cachet within the youth market.

Founded 1994 · Parent: VF Corporation · Competes with Stüssy, Palace Skateboards, A Bathing Ape, Kith · Partnerships: Louis Vuitton, Nike, The North Face

Corporate details are Qloo entity data.

Watch
63.9F / 100
95% of the weighted evidence measured

Why this verdict

F 63.9 is between 62 and 67, no red flags.

Scores, flags and verdicts are computed in code. The agents can only argue with the ledger; they never set the score.

Six audience metrics

Bar = this target; tick = shortlist average.

m1 Two-way audience affinity
0.77
Harmonic mean of the buyer audience’s affinity for the target and the target audience’s affinity for the buyer’s brands.
m2 Taste-profile overlap
0.18
Rank-weighted overlap of the two audiences’ top-50 cultural taste tags.
m3 Cross-domain agreement
0.85
How strongly the target’s audience embraces the buyer audience’s favourite artists, shows, films and podcasts.
m4 Demographic alignment
0.57
Similarity of the two audiences’ age and gender over-index profiles.
m5 Geographic footprint
0.46
Correlation of metro-level audience affinity, relative to the screened cohort.
m6 Momentum not measured
n/a
Trending rank change over the last 4 weeks vs the 8 before, relative to the cohort.
Qloo has no trending history for the 12 weeks to 2026-10-24.

How F is built

Points each metric adds (weights for Licensing / co-brand, renormalised over what Qloo could measure).

MetricWeightPoints
Two-way audience affinity0.3528.5
Taste-profile overlap0.101.9
Cross-domain agreement0.2017.9
Demographic alignment0.106.0
Geographic footprint0.209.6
Momentumnot measured–
F63.9

Qloo explainability: the buyer-side signals driving the forward affinity are Los Angeles Dodgers (1.00).

Where the audiences meet, across culture

The buyer audience’s top titles in each domain, ranked by how strongly Supreme’s audience embraces them.

Music0.91
Embraced: Meek Mill, Jay Rock, ScHoolboy Q · Least shared: UGK, E-40, Cam'ron
TV0.89
Embraced: The Righteous Gemstones, Ballers, Men of a Certain Age · Least shared: Arrested Development, It's Always Sunny in Philadelphia, Running Wilde
Film0.76
Embraced: Coach Carter, Creed, More Than a Game · Least shared: Major League II, Draft Day, 42
Podcasts0.84
Embraced: The Church of What's Happening Now: The New Testament, I AM RAPAPORT: STEREO PODCAST, What's Up Fool? Podcast · Least shared: Anything Better?, The YoYoYo Podcast w/Martin & Hooter, Tom Segura En Español

Taste profile overlap

16 of 84 top taste tags shared.

Both over-index on
Hip Hoprapelectronicfriendshiprockfriendrhythm & bluestrap
Buyer only

American, Tortillas, mexican american, family relationships, los angeles california

Supreme only

Omakase, chinese drama, live action adaptation, japanese drama, based on novel

Audience shape

Los Angeles Dodgers (buyer) Supreme
-0.70-0.350.00+0.35+0.70≤2425–2930–3435–4445–5455+MenWomen

Relative over-index (+) or under-index (−) of each aggregate audience, from Qloo. Not individual data.

Momentum

Qloo has no trending history for the 12 weeks to 2026-10-24.

Footprint overlap for distribution

White space: Supreme strong, buyer weak Shared stronghold Other metros
White space

Minneapolis, Raleigh, Columbus, Richmond, Hartford, New Orleans, Louisville, Baltimore

Shared strongholds

Albuquerque, Tucson, Anchorage, Portland

Bull vs bear

10 of 10 claims survived the judge; 0 rejected for citing numbers not in the ledger or misreading them.

Bull: for the deal

  • Supreme's profile ranks the Dodgers as its top taste driver, and Supreme carries very high Qloo popularity.

    t6-profile.drivers[0].score = 1t6-profile.popularity = 0.9989
  • Geographic footprint scores above the shortlist average, with shared strongholds such as Albuquerque where both audiences show high aggregate affinity.

    t6-m5.value = 0.4582t6-m5.correlation = -0.08364t6-m5.strongholds[0].buyer = 0.9707
  • Cross-domain taste agreement is above the shortlist average, led by music where the aggregate audiences jointly over-index on artists like Meek Mill and Jay Rock.

    t6-m3.value = 0.8502t6-m3.domains[0].score = 0.9112t6-m3.domains[0].shared[0].affinity = 0.9535
  • Demographic alignment beats the shortlist average, and both aggregate audiences over-index among the 24-and-younger bucket and male skew.

    t6-m4.value = 0.5681t6-m4.cosine = 0.1362t6-m4.buyer.24_and_younger = 0.36t6-m4.target.24_and_younger = 0.37
  • Podcast and TV domains also show above-average audience agreement, with shared affinity for titles like Ballers.

    t6-m3.domains[3].score = 0.8446t6-m3.domains[1].score = 0.8864t6-m3.domains[1].shared[1].affinity = 0.9234

Bear: against, or diligence first

  • Two-way audience affinity of 0.7727 sits below the shortlist average of 0.8058, so the mutual audience pull is weaker than for peer candidates.

    t6-m1.value = 0.7727
  • The composite score of 63.9 trails the shortlist average of 64.75, and taste overlap contributes just 1.906 points. On aggregate, this pairing ranks below a typical shortlist option.

    t6-score.F = 63.9t6-score.points.m2 = 1.906
  • Taste-profile overlap is the weakest link: only 0.1811 of the combined taste tags are shared versus a shortlist average of 0.2621, and 0.65 of the Dodgers' top-20 audience tags are missing from Supreme's profile (shortlist 0.475). The Dodgers' aggregate affinities for Mexican-American, family and Los Angeles themes do not carry over.

    t6-m2.value = 0.1811t6-m2.buyerTop20MissingShare = 0.65t6-m2.sharedCount = 16
  • The film domain shows weak agreement. Its score of 0.7587 is below the shortlist average of 0.8087, and baseball films such as Major League II diverge at 0.7147, which suggests limited aggregate crossover around the core sports narrative.

    t6-m3.domains[2].score = 0.7587t6-m3.domains[2].clash[0].affinity = 0.7147
  • Momentum is unmeasured: m6 coverage is 0 because Qloo has no trending history. Diligence on recent audience trajectory is needed before committing licensing terms.

    t6-m6.coverage = 0

IC memo

Number check passed: 17 number(s), all in the evidence ledger.Written by claude-opus-5-5

Supreme: WATCH

Recommendation Supreme stays on watch. It ranks 6 of 8 with a composite F of 63.9. The verdict rule decided it: F 63.9 is between 62 and 67, and there are no red flags. The cultural signals are strong, but the taste profiles overlap too little to justify licensing terms yet.

Where the audiences meet

  • Supreme's Qloo profile names the Dodgers as its top taste driver. Supreme also carries very high Qloo popularity (0.9989).
  • Music shows the strongest cross-domain agreement (0.91). The aggregate audiences jointly over-index on Meek Mill, Jay Rock and ScHoolboy Q. Shared taste tags include hip hop, rap and trap.
  • TV and podcast agreement are above the shortlist average. Both audiences show shared affinity for titles like Ballers and The Righteous Gemstones.
  • Demographic alignment beats the shortlist average. Both aggregate audiences over-index among the 24-and-younger bucket and skew male.
  • Geographic footprint is above average. Shared strongholds include Albuquerque, Tucson and Portland.

Risks

  • Two-way audience affinity is 0.77, below the shortlist average of 0.81.
  • Taste-profile overlap is the weakest link. Only 0.18 of combined tags are shared, versus a shortlist average of 0.26. Also, 65% of the Dodgers' top-20 audience tags are missing from Supreme's profile, against 47.5% across the shortlist. The Dodgers' audience affinities for Mexican-American, family and Los Angeles themes do not carry over.
  • Film agreement is weak. Baseball titles such as Major League II diverge, which points to limited aggregate crossover around the core sports narrative.
  • Momentum is unmeasured. Qloo has no trending history for the 12 weeks to 2026-10-24.
  • The composite trails the shortlist average of 64.8.

Diligence questions

  • Would a co-branded pilot built on the shared hip-hop and rap affinity close the gap in mutual audience pull?
  • Can the collaboration's design bring in Los Angeles and Mexican-American themes that the Dodgers' audience over-indexes on but Supreme's profile lacks?
  • What recent sales or social data can stand in for the missing momentum measure?
  • How would Supreme's scarcity-driven positioning, and VF Corporation's ownership, affect licensing structure and volume?
  • Should creative avoid baseball-film storytelling, given the weak film crossover?

Aggregate audience affinities from Qloo, not predictions about individuals. Not investment advice.

Provenance: 26 Qloo calls behind this target

Requests as sent (the API key travels in a header and is never logged). Responses are cached privately on the server.

PurposeEndpointStatusResultSource
/v2/insightsok25 of 25 candidates scoredcache
/v2/insightsok25 profile(s)cache
/v2/insightsok25 recommended tv_show(s)cache
/v2/insightsok25 recommended podcast(s)cache
/v2/insightsok25 recommended movie(s)cache
/v2/insightsok50 taste tag(s)cache
/v2/insightsokdemographics for 9 of 9 entitiescache
/v2/insightsok25 recommended artist(s)cache
/v2/insightsok7800 heatmap cell(s) in United Statescache
/v2/trendingempty0 trend point(s)cache
/v2/trendingempty0 trend point(s)cache
/v2/trendingempty0 trend point(s)cache
/v2/trendingempty0 trend point(s)cache
/v2/trendingempty0 trend point(s)cache
/v2/trendingempty0 trend point(s)cache
/v2/trendingempty0 trend point(s)cache
/v2/trendingempty0 trend point(s)cache
/v2/trendingempty0 trend point(s)cache
/v2/insightsok1 of 1 candidates scoredcache
/v2/insightsok50 taste tag(s)cache
/v2/insightsok25 of 25 candidates scoredcache
/v2/insightsok25 of 25 candidates scoredcache
/v2/insightsok25 of 25 candidates scoredcache
/v2/insightsok25 of 25 candidates scoredcache
/v2/insightsok9899 heatmap cell(s) in United Statescache
/v2/analysis/compareok0 shared catalogue tag(s)cache
Evidence rows (what bull, bear and the judge see)
[
 {
  "id": "t6-flags",
  "label": "Red flags (code rules)",
  "data": {
   "flags": []
  },
  "shortlistAverages": {}
 },
 {
  "id": "t6-m1",
  "label": "m1 Two-way audience affinity",
  "data": {
   "a": 0.7727085015935597,
   "b": 0.7727085015935597,
   "ratio": 1,
   "value": 0.7727085015935596,
   "reverse": [
    {
     "id": "9B8B279C-B777-4293-8121-B8174970B57D",
     "name": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
     "affinity": 0.7727085015935597
    }
   ],
   "coverage": 1
  },
  "shortlistAverages": {
   "a": 0.8058428397073507,
   "b": 0.8058428397073507,
   "ratio": 1,
   "value": 0.8058428397073506
  }
 },
 {
  "id": "t6-m2",
  "label": "m2 Taste-profile overlap",
  "data": {
   "value": 0.1811023622047244,
   "shared": [
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:genre:music:hip_hop",
     "name": "Hip Hop",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:genre:music"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:genre:music:rap",
     "name": "rap",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:genre:music"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:genre:music:electronic",
     "name": "electronic",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:genre:music"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:keyword:media:friendship",
     "name": "friendship",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:keyword:media"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:genre:music:rock",
     "name": "rock",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:genre:music"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:keyword:media:friend",
     "name": "friend",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:keyword:media"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:genre:music:rhythm_blues",
     "name": "rhythm & blues",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:genre:music"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:genre:music:trap",
     "name": "trap",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:genre:music"
    }
   ],
   "coverage": 1,
   "buyerOnly": [
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:genre:place:restaurant:american",
     "name": "American",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:genre:place"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:specialty_dish:place:tortillas",
     "name": "Tortillas",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:specialty_dish:place"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:keyword:media:mexican_american",
     "name": "mexican american",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:keyword:media"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:keyword:media:family_relationships",
     "name": "family relationships",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:keyword:media"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:keyword:media:los_angeles_california",
     "name": "los angeles california",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:keyword:media"
    }
   ],
   "targetOnly": [
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:specialty_dish:place:omakase",
     "name": "Omakase",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:specialty_dish:place"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:keyword:media:chinese_drama",
     "name": "chinese drama",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:keyword:media"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:keyword:media:live_action_adaptation",
     "name": "live action adaptation",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:keyword:media"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:keyword:media:japanese_drama",
     "name": "japanese drama",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:keyword:media"
    },
    {
     "id": "urn:tag:keyword:media:based_on_novel",
     "name": "based on novel",
     "subtype": "urn:tag:keyword:media"
    }
   ],
   "unionCount": 84,
   "sharedCount": 16,
   "buyerTop20MissingShare": 0.65
  },
  "shortlistAverages": {
   "value": 0.26208447790247186,
   "sharedCount": 21.75,
   "buyerTop20MissingShare": 0.475
  }
 },
 {
  "id": "t6-m3",
  "label": "m3 Cross-domain agreement",
  "data": {
   "value": 0.8502104442136906,
   "domains": [
    {
     "type": "urn:entity:artist",
     "clash": [
      {
       "name": "UGK",
       "affinity": 0.8458655459696001
      },
      {
       "name": "E-40",
       "affinity": 0.8491618169756809
      },
      {
       "name": "Cam'ron",
       "affinity": 0.8493478112952971
      }
     ],
     "label": "Music",
     "score": 0.9111581307872052,
     "shared": [
      {
       "name": "Meek Mill",
       "affinity": 0.953524423394985
      },
      {
       "name": "Jay Rock",
       "affinity": 0.9522001569127307
      },
      {
       "name": "ScHoolboy Q",
       "affinity": 0.9451700114377217
      }
     ],
     "expected": 25,
     "returned": 25
    },
    {
     "type": "urn:entity:tv_show",
     "clash": [
      {
       "name": "Arrested Development",
       "affinity": 0.8549574552583015
      },
      {
       "name": "It's Always Sunny in Philadelphia",
       "affinity": 0.8622561000329658
      },
      {
       "name": "Running Wilde",
       "affinity": 0.8627832677492401
      }
     ],
     "label": "TV",
     "score": 0.8863725771103454,
     "shared": [
      {
       "name": "The Righteous Gemstones",
       "affinity": 0.9243397636403059
      },
      {
       "name": "Ballers",
       "affinity": 0.9234438772704032
      },
      {
       "name": "Men of a Certain Age",
       "affinity": 0.9135292878927166
      }
     ],
     "expected": 25,
     "returned": 25
    },
    {
     "type": "urn:entity:movie",
     "clash": [
      {
       "name": "Major League II",
       "affinity": 0.7146509601769044
      },
      {
       "name": "Draft Day",
       "affinity": 0.7224843747630698
      },
      {
       "name": "42",
       "affinity": 0.7270930308179046
      }
     ],
     "label": "Film",
     "score": 0.7587112004338243,
     "shared": [
      {
       "name": "Coach Carter",
       "affinity": 0.7991811761557904
      },
      {
       "name": "Creed",
       "affinity": 0.7991511577239746
      },
      {
       "name": "More Than a Game",
       "affinity": 0.7965696201917855
      }
     ],
     "expected": 25,
     "returned": 25
    },
    {
     "type": "urn:entity:podcast",
     "clash": [
      {
       "name": "Anything Better?",
       "affinity": 0.800799585109407
      },
      {
       "name": "The YoYoYo Podcast w/Martin & Hooter",
       "affinity": 0.8027849861596902
      },
      {
       "name": "Tom Segura En Español",
       "affinity": 0.8140557873424826
      }
     ],
     "label": "Podcasts",
     "score": 0.8445998685233878,
     "shared": [
      {
       "name": "The Church of What's Happening Now: The New Testament",
       "affinity": 0.8825924501071436
      },
      {
       "name": "I AM RAPAPORT: STEREO PODCAST",
       "affinity": 0.8791146667868431
      },
      {
       "name": "What's Up Fool? Podcast",
       "affinity": 0.8716857194667736
      }
     ],
     "expected": 25,
     "returned": 25
    }
   ],
   "coverage": 1
  },
  "shortlistAverages": {
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   "domains[0].score": 0.8794888506674802,
   "domains[1].score": 0.8836269856142132,
   "domains[2].score": 0.8086589764417401,
   "domains[3].score": 0.804967040700262
  }
 },
 {
  "id": "t6-m4",
  "label": "m4 Demographic alignment",
  "data": {
   "buyer": {
    "male": 0.21,
    "female": -0.21,
    "25_to_29": -0.1,
    "30_to_34": -0.7000000000000001,
    "35_to_44": -0.53,
    "45_to_54": 0.22,
    "55_and_older": 0.33,
    "24_and_younger": 0.36
   },
   "value": 0.5681194157515412,
   "cosine": 0.13623883150308252,
   "target": {
    "male": 0.39,
    "female": -0.39,
    "25_to_29": 0.08,
    "30_to_34": 0.23,
    "35_to_44": -0.66,
    "45_to_54": -0.47000000000000003,
    "55_and_older": -0.59,
    "24_and_younger": 0.37
   },
   "coverage": 1,
   "biggestGap": {
    "buyer": -0.7000000000000001,
    "bucket": "30_to_34",
    "target": 0.23
   }
  },
  "shortlistAverages": {
   "value": 0.5129090961869054,
   "cosine": 0.02581819237381071
  }
 },
 {
  "id": "t6-m5",
  "label": "m5 Geographic footprint",
  "data": {
   "value": 0.4581805226792658,
   "coverage": 1,
   "metroCount": 55,
   "whiteSpace": [
    {
     "lat": 44.9778,
     "lon": -93.265,
     "buyer": 0.8241633733063134,
     "metro": "Minneapolis",
     "target": 0.9645150837501468,
     "buyerRel": -0.03961269569810533,
     "targetRel": 0.1007390147457281
    },
    {
     "lat": 35.7796,
     "lon": -78.6382,
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     "metro": "Raleigh",
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     "targetRel": 0.08365357067903989
    },
    {
     "lat": 39.9612,
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     "metro": "Columbus",
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    },
    {
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     "buyer": 0.8227237801832991,
     "metro": "Richmond",
     "target": 0.9628303562052233,
     "buyerRel": -0.0651320396505396,
     "targetRel": 0.07497453637138463
    },
    {
     "lat": 41.7658,
     "lon": -72.6734,
     "buyer": 0.8474897021248272,
     "metro": "Hartford",
     "target": 0.9918947277351011,
     "buyerRel": -0.06953699075301978,
     "targetRel": 0.07486803485725413
    },
    {
     "lat": 29.9511,
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     "metro": "New Orleans",
     "target": 0.9812694364666127,
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     "targetRel": 0.07374379191774061
    },
    {
     "lat": 38.2527,
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     "metro": "Louisville",
     "target": 0.9329259499082655,
     "buyerRel": -0.05332035817189362,
     "targetRel": 0.07302163577313525
    },
    {
     "lat": 39.2904,
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     "buyer": 0.8511852724968442,
     "metro": "Baltimore",
     "target": 0.9874529610641741,
     "buyerRel": -0.06503757303932489,
     "targetRel": 0.07123011552800507
    }
   ],
   "correlation": -0.0836389546414684,
   "strongholds": [
    {
     "lat": 35.0844,
     "lon": -106.6504,
     "buyer": 0.9706899894380029,
     "metro": "Albuquerque",
     "target": 0.9644209413778402,
     "buyerRel": 0.09551623700885659,
     "targetRel": 0.08924718894869388
    },
    {
     "lat": 32.2226,
     "lon": -110.9747,
     "buyer": 0.9663896768709499,
     "metro": "Tucson",
     "target": 0.954674387121302,
     "buyerRel": 0.09608621357675451,
     "targetRel": 0.08437092382710665
    },
    {
     "lat": 61.2181,
     "lon": -149.9003,
     "buyer": 0.8499582220228651,
     "metro": "Anchorage",
     "target": 0.914962372821318,
     "buyerRel": 0.047812276744295,
     "targetRel": 0.1128164275427479
    },
    {
     "lat": 45.5152,
     "lon": -122.6784,
     "buyer": 0.9398023648759333,
     "metro": "Portland",
     "target": 0.9761736445368259,
     "buyerRel": 0.043643888424171884,
     "targetRel": 0.08001516808506448
    }
   ],
   "whiteSpaceCount": 9,
   "relativeToCohort": true
  },
  "shortlistAverages": {
   "value": 0.43391156033354505,
   "correlation": -0.13217687933290995
  }
 },
 {
  "id": "t6-m6",
  "label": "m6 Momentum",
  "data": {
   "z": null,
   "note": "Qloo has no trending history for the 12 weeks to 2026-10-24.",
   "value": null,
   "priorSd": null,
   "coverage": 0,
   "priorMean": null,
   "normalised": false,
   "recentMean": null
  },
  "shortlistAverages": {}
 },
 {
  "id": "t6-profile",
  "label": "Qloo entity profile: Supreme",
  "data": {
   "name": "Supreme",
   "drivers": [
    {
     "name": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
     "score": 1
    }
   ],
   "ownership": "part_of_other",
   "keyMarkets": [
    "United States",
    "Japan",
    "Europe"
   ],
   "popularity": 0.9989320404807513,
   "screenRank": 6,
   "foundedYear": 1994,
   "priceRangeUsd": [
    40,
    500
   ],
   "ultimateParent": "VF Corporation",
   "forwardAffinity": 0.7727085015935597,
   "competitorBrands": [
    "Stüssy",
    "Palace Skateboards",
    "A Bathing Ape",
    "Kith",
    "Off-White"
   ],
   "sharedCategories": [],
   "knownPartnerships": [
    "Louis Vuitton",
    "Nike",
    "The North Face",
    "Comme Des Garçons",
    "Levi's"
   ],
   "marketPositioning": "A premium streetwear brand leveraging scarcity and exclusivity to maintain a high-fashion cachet within the youth market."
  },
  "shortlistAverages": {}
 },
 {
  "id": "t6-score",
  "label": "Composite score",
  "data": {
   "F": 63.899825971785646,
   "points": {
    "m1": 28.468207953446935,
    "m2": 1.9063406547865727,
    "m3": 17.899167246604012,
    "m4": 5.980204376332013,
    "m5": 9.645905740616122,
    "m6": 0
   },
   "coverage": 0.95
  },
  "shortlistAverages": {
   "F": 64.75407958362149,
   "coverage": 0.9500000000000001
  }
 }
]